Match Info

Stars League - Round 28

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa, Iraqia Syriac


	Najaf		Karbala

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.4	8
	1.47	3.4	8
	1.45	3.47	9.02
	1.44	3.44	8.7	Watch
	1.47	3.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)	3.42 ↓ (3.58)	8.34 ↓ (9.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najaf
62.5%

Draw
26.6%

Karbala
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

25.5%

9.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

24.5%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Karbala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Najaf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Najaf - Karbala Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Najaf (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Hason A. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Sioud N. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Maraksi R. ⚽,
42', 2 - 2, Hason A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Najaf is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Karbala is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karbala could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Najaf is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Najaf won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Najaf won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
12.04.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Najaf	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	Al-Karkh - Najaf	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Najaf - Al-Hudood	3:1 ✺
12.03.25	Al-Minaa - Najaf	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Najaf - Al-Zawraa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTL
- Karbala
Iraqi Premier League
11.04.25	Karbala - Zakho	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Diyala - Karbala	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Karbala - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
13.03.25	Al-Kahraba - Karbala	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Karbala	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
27.09.24	Karbala - Najaf	1:1
27.05.24	Karbala - Najaf	0:0
09.12.22	Najaf - Karbala	3:2
09.05.13	Karbala - Najaf	1:1

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