Match Info

Stars League - Round 26

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa


	Diyala		Karbala

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.13	2.95	3.45
	2.16	2.97	3.47	Watch
	2.12	2.97	3.45	Watch
	2.13	2.95	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.55)	2.97 ↓ (3.04)	3.41 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Diyala
42.7%

Draw
30.6%

Karbala
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

29.9%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.5%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diyala's performance.

Karbala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karbala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diyala that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karbala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Diyala - Karbala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, Sfaxi A. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Recent matches Diyala is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karbala is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Karbala have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Diyala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
29.03.25	Al-Karma - Diyala	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Al-Kahraba - Diyala	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Diyala - Al-Hudood	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Diyala - Newroz	1:4 ✺
14.02.25	Al-Talaba - Diyala	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 TTWLT
- Karbala
Iraqi Premier League
28.03.25	Karbala - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
13.03.25	Al-Kahraba - Karbala	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Karbala	4:0 ✺
02.03.25	Naft Al-Basra - Karbala	0:0 ✺
20.02.25	Al-Zawraa - Karbala	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
27.11.24	Karbala - Diyala	2:2

Upcoming Matches