Match Info

Stars League - Round 15

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Najaf		Zakho

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.1	1.65
	5.65	3.27	1.6
	5.65	3.05	1.7	Watch
	5.75	3	1.62
	6.27	3.24	1.58	Watch
	5.5	3.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.72 ↑ (4.59)	3.14 ↑ (3.04)	1.63 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najaf
15.8%

Draw
28.7%

Zakho
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

29.8%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

29.1%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Zakho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zakho than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Najaf - Zakho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Ridha F. ⚽,
36', Ridha F. 🟥,
43', 1 - 1, Rashid O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Rostam A. ⚽,
74', Orinho 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 2.

Najaf is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Zakho has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Zakho is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Zakho will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Najaf won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Zakho	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
22.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Najaf	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Najaf - Al-Gharraf	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Najaf - Naft Maysan	2:4 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Karkh - Najaf	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Karma - Najaf	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Zakho
Iraqi Premier League
23.01.26	Zakho - Duhok	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Naft Maysan - Zakho	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Kahraba - Zakho	0:3 ✺
09.01.26	Zakho - Amanat Baghdad	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Zakho	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
18.06.25	Najaf - Zakho	0:0
30.01.25	Zakho - Najaf	1:0
19.07.24	Najaf - Zakho	1:0 penalties
31.05.24	Najaf - Zakho	2:1
09.02.21	Najaf - Zakho	1:1
27.09.19	Zakho - Najaf	0:1

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