Match Info

Stars League - Round 14

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Zawraa		Najaf

	1	X	2
	1.39	3.75	8.1
	1.31	4.49	9.24	Watch
	1.33	3.8	10
	1.3	4.2	11.1	Watch
	1.33	4.25	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.49)	4.1 ↑ (3.7)	9.29 ↑ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Zawraa
68.1%

Draw
22.1%

Najaf
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

24.7%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

24%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Zawraa's performance.

Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Al Zawraa - Najaf Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, Abdulkareem H. ⚽,
84', 2 - 0, Aziz Y. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Zawraa won 1.

Al-Zawraa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Najaf has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Al-Zawraa is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Zawraa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Zawraa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Zawraa	8	5	3	0	15:3	12	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
17.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Arbil	1:0 ✺
13.01.26	Diyala - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Zawraa	2:2 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Gharraf	0:0 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTTTW
- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
18.01.26	Najaf - Al-Gharraf	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Najaf - Naft Maysan	2:4 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Karkh - Najaf	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Karma - Najaf	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Najaf - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
08.03.25	Najaf - Al-Zawraa	1:2
30.11.24	Al-Zawraa - Najaf	1:1
31.03.24	Al-Zawraa - Najaf	0:0
29.04.23	Al-Zawraa - Najaf	1:1
03.07.22	Al-Zawraa - Najaf	1:2
31.01.21	Najaf - Al-Zawraa	0:1

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