Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium (Nakhon Pathom)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	SPOTV Now
Thailand	True Ball Thai 4


	Nakhon Pathom United		Rayong FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.3	2.95
	2.26	3.3	2.8
	2.31	3.27	2.87	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.41	3.45	2.74	Watch
	2.26	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.06)	3.29 ↓ (3.35)	2.88 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Pathom United
40.7%

Draw
27.7%

Rayong FC
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.1%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

26.4%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Pathom United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Rayong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Nakhon Pathom United - Rayong FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Nakhon Pathom United (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakhon Pathom United (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Srathongjan W. (G) 47. Sangtong A. 65. Auksornsri T. 5. Filipovic V. 31. Phumipha E. A. 66. Chaolaokhwan S. 11. Valdo 6. Phupha J. 15. Tierney F. 9. Shamsaldin A. 10. Ito T. (C)	30. Ganthong W. (G) 5. Phusirit W. 12. Aguinaldo A. 3. Namuangrak Y. 4. Katano H. 6. Lwin M. A. 15. Jeon H. 7. Bruno Catanhede 25. Wannasri P. 31. Harape P. 9. Junior S.
Substitutes
28. Abu Khalil M. 59. Buathong W. (G) 3. Chuchai C. 4. Laohabut T. 44. Nemati A. 55. Otton C. 7. Phutchan K. 21. Prachobklang N. 17. Ruengsamoot T. 33. Sangrum A. 22. Viriyachanchai P. 23. Wisetchat N.	10. Batchari J. 29. Boodjinda A. 41. Ito R. 39. Janchaichit R. 11. Kaminthong P. 14. Keereeleang G. 44. Kerdkaew C. 8. Lucero J. 66. Pholjuang T. 1. Pipatnadda K. (G) 23. Takum P.
Coaches
Sukkoki T.	Punpee J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Aguinaldo A. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Auksornsri T. ⚽, Phumipha E. A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Katano H. ↓, Ito R. ↑,
46', Tierney F. ↓, Phutchan K. ↑,
46', Shamsaldin A. ↓, Viriyachanchai P. ↑,
48', Harape P. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Aguinaldo A. ⚽, Ito R. (A),
66', Junior S. 🟨,
77', Ito T. 🟨,
81', Chaolaokhwan S. ↓, Prachobklang N. ↑,
87', Phutchan K. 🟨,
88', Harape P. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Jeon H. ⚽, Lucero J. (A),
90', Auksornsri T. ↓, Nemati A. ↑,
90+1', Phumipha E. A. ↓, Sangrum A. ↑,
90+6', Lwin M. A. ↓, Kerdkaew C. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Nakhon Pathom United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nakhon Pathom United will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nakhon Pathom United won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Nakhon Pathom United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 2.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Pathom United FC
Thai League 1
30.03.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United	2:4 ✺
15.03.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Uthai Thani	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Pathum United	1:4 ✺
02.03.25	Prachuap - Nakhon Pathom United	1:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
26.02.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- Rayong FC
Thai League 1
29.03.25	Buriram United - Rayong FC	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Chiangrai United - Rayong FC	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Rayong FC - Sukhothai	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Rayong FC	1:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
26.02.25	Rayong FC - Ratchaburi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
23.11.24	Rayong FC - Nakhon Pathom United	2:2
Thai League 2
11.02.23	Rayong FC - Nakhon Pathom United	1:1
30.09.22	Nakhon Pathom United - Rayong FC	4:1
12.02.22	Rayong FC - Nakhon Pathom United	0:0
09.10.21	Nakhon Pathom United - Rayong FC	1:4

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