Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 26

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium (Chonburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Chonburi		Sukhothai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.8	4.8
	1.55	3.8	4.95	Watch
	1.57	4.05	5.63
	1.54	4.1	5.18	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5
	1.6	3.98	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.53)	3.89 ↑ (3.89)	5.12 ↓ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chonburi
58.7%

Draw
23.5%

Sukhothai
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23.4%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.7%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Chonburi - Sukhothai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendoza K. (G) 23. Channgom S. 2. Kike Linares 37. Sayriya N. 14. Tabinas J. 28. Darko R. 32. Moraksa R. 10. Promsrikaew C. (C) 8. Burapha Y. 17. Bolingi J. 99. van Lingen O.	99. Saensuk K. (G) 27. Thumporn T. 15. Promsupa S. 93. Claudio 19. Phatthaphon P. 7. Thiamrat L. (C) 5. Romeu 21. Denman A. 95. Barreto 10. Baggio J. 35. Chatthong S.
Substitutes
19. Arango E. 30. Biesamrit N. 20. Bunta S. 11. Eisa A. 46. Kadtoon N. (G) 9. Kraisorn A. 3. Rueangthanarot C. 4. Sansanit K. 31. Seaisakul P. 36. Sujarit T. 80. Tapsuvanavon C. 21. Wandee S.	8. Aranpiroj R. 11. Gildo 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 24. Jansuwan P. 39. Jantrapho A. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 29. Khamphaeng P. 2. Logarwit S. 70. Mateusinho 17. Mhuaddarak T. 9. Paredes J. 3. Suksakit P.
Coaches
Viwatchaichok R.	Thong-Am E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Saensuk K. ↓, Hnupichai S. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, van Lingen O. ⚽, Burapha Y. (A),
43', 2 - 0, van Lingen O. ⚽, Burapha Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Denman A. ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
46', Thiamrat L. ↓, Aranpiroj R. ↑,
64', Phatthaphon P. 🟨,
83', Chatthong S. ↓, Mhuaddarak T. ↑,
83', Moraksa R. ↓, Seaisakul P. ↑,
83', Promsrikaew C. ↓, Tapsuvanavon C. ↑,
89', Claudio ↓, Gildo ↑,
90', Channgom S. ↓, Sujarit T. ↑,
90', Burapha Y. ↓, Wandee S. ↑,
90+3', Sayriya N. 🟨,
90+5', van Lingen O. ↓, Bunta S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 1.

Chonburi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sukhothai has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sukhothai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chonburi is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chonburi won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sukhothai	3	1	0	2	3:5	-2	3
16	Chonburi	3	0	0	3	2:5	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chonburi FC
Thai League Cup
18.03.26	Chonburi - Thap Luang United	1:0 ✺
Thai League 1
14.03.26	Buriram United - Chonburi	5:0 ✺
08.03.26	Pathum United - Chonburi	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Chonburi - Ayutthaya United	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chiangrai United - Chonburi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWLW
- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
15.03.26	Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sukhothai - Rayong FC	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Pathum United - Sukhothai	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Buriram United - Sukhothai	6:0 ✺
14.02.26	Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
23.11.25	Sukhothai - Chonburi	2:1
25.02.24	Chonburi - Sukhothai	3:1
10.11.23	Sukhothai - Chonburi	3:2
04.04.23	Sukhothai - Chonburi	1:0
29.10.22	Chonburi - Sukhothai	1:1
20.03.21	Chonburi - Sukhothai	0:0
18.12.20	Sukhothai - Chonburi	1:2

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