The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nam Định 49.6%
Draw 28.9%
Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
31.2%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
31.3%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nam Định has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nam Định's performance.
Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nam Định than the current prediction. (-24.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nam Định that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City than the current prediction. (+22.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.8%
23.1%
23.1%
Nam Định - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Nam Định will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Cong An will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nam Định: 26.7% – 80.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Tran Nguyen Manh (G) 6. A Mit 10. Caio Cesar 98. Giap Tuan Duong 39. Lam Ti Phong 4. Lucas 93. Pham Ba K. 14. Rafaelson 72. Romulo 28. To Van Vu 19. Tran Van Dat
89. Le Giang P. (C) 14. Endrick 13. Khong Minh Gia 68. Mach Ngoc Ha 4. Matheus Felipe 17. Minh Trong Vo 26. Ngo K. 39. Nguyen Duc Phu 19. Nguyen Thai Q. C. 7. Raphael Utzig 66. Williams L.
Substitutes
35. Brenner 5. Dang Van Toi 23. Le V. P. (G) 88. Ly Cong Hoang Anh 7. Nguyen Phong Hong Duy 9. Nguyen Van Toan 17. Nguyen Van Vi 27. Tran N. S. 13. Tran V. K.
18. Bui N. L. 21. Dao Quoc Gia . Makrillos P. 67. Nguyen M. C. (G) 22. Nguyen Tien Linh 15. Pham Duc Huy 11. Tay Van Toan 28. Tran H. P. 90. Tran Manh Cuong
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
18', 0 - 1, Raphael Utzig ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Matheus Felipe ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Williams L. ⚽,
43', 0 - 4, Khong Minh Gia ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
71', 1 - 4, ⚽,
75', 🟨,
79', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nam Định won 2.
Nam Định is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cong An has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Nam Định could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nam Định won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Nam Định won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
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Tran Nguyen Manh (G) 
Caio Cesar 
Pham Ba K. 
Le Giang P. (C) 
Endrick 
Ngo K. 
Williams L. 
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