Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 27

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Nancy		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.98	3.1	2.38
	3.28	3.17	2.4
	2.99	3.15	2.43	Watch
	3	3	2.3
	3.05	3.29	2.38	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.55)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	2.4 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
31.5%

Draw
29.7%

Le Mans
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.2%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

27.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	41.2%	52.9%

Nancy - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Le Mans will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.34) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Nancy (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nancy (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Basilio E. (G) 44. Tacafred E. 77. Nahounou Y. 17. Carlier M. (C) 4. Fernandez N. 3. Bourgault J. 25. Gelin J. 7. Fdaouch Z. 8. Bouabdelli W. 26. Ztouti Z. 24. Orakpo V.	98. Kocik N. (G) 18. Buades L. 31. Boisse N. 17. Yohou S. 3. Cossier I. 22. Calodat L. 29. Bretelle L. 6. Quarshie E. (C) 24. Robin M. 9. Rabillard A. 28. Colas E.
Substitutes
18. Barbier H. 20. Bokangu B. 6. Bouriaud T. 22. Evans J. 12. Julloux A. 30. Lembet G. (G) 27. Maouassa F.	11. Bourabaa A. 25. Gueye D. 20. Harhouz W. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 8. Lauray A. 12. Ribelin A. 5. Voyer H.
Coaches
Correa P.	Videira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Ztouti Z. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
32', Cossier I. ↓, Voyer H. ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Rabillard A. ⚽, Calodat L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 2, Rabillard A. ⚽, Buades L. (A),
54', Orakpo V. ↓, Bokangu B. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Rabillard A. ⚽,
59', Robin M. ↓, Bourabaa A. ↑,
60', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
63', Carlier M. ↓, Bouriaud T. ↑,
64', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
64', Ztouti Z. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
69', Gelin J. ↓, Barbier H. ↑,
71', Colas E. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
72', Rabillard A. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
77', Bokangu B. 🟨,
77', Lauray A. 🟨,
79', 1 - 4, Buades L. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 4, Bouabdelli W. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Nancy: Bamba R. (Injury) Carlier M. (Injury) Experience M. (Inactive) Julloux A. (Inactive) Kenzo N. (Injury) Ouotro P. (Injury) Saint-Ruf N. (Red Card) Sourzac M. (Arm Injury) Suljic C. (Inactive) Ztouti Z. (Inactive)

There will not play in Le Mans: Eyoum T. (Injury) Gomes M. (Ankle Injury) Vercruysse J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nancy: Mendy E. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Nancy: 1.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8:7	1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Nancy - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Le Mans - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.72%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
06.03.26	Nancy - Montpellier	0:3 ✺
27.02.26	Laval - Nancy	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Nancy - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
13.02.26	Red Star - Nancy	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Nancy - Troyes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTLW
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 2
07.03.26	Le Mans - Annecy	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Red Star - Le Mans	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Le Mans - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Montpellier - Le Mans	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Le Mans - Laval	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
11.01.26	Le Mans - Nancy	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 2
31.10.25	Le Mans - Nancy	1:0
French Ligue 3
28.03.25	Nancy - Le Mans	2:0
01.11.24	Le Mans - Nancy	0:4
26.04.24	Nancy - Le Mans	3:6
01.12.23	Le Mans - Nancy	1:3
17.02.23	Le Mans - Nancy	0:1

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