The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Star 48.2%
Draw 28.7%
Nancy 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
29%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
27.7%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.
Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nancy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nancy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
22.2%
22.2%
Red Star - Nancy Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Nancy will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 38.8% โ 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 27. Danger B. 5. Escartin J. 81. Haag G. 11. Cisse K. 98. Hachem R. (C) 4. Pierret B. 7. Durand D. 29. Benali H. 9. Ba P. M.
1. Basilio E. (G) 44. Tacafred E. 77. Nahounou Y. 21. Mendy E. 3. Bourgault J. 17. Carlier M. (C) 22. Evans J. 18. Barbier H. 6. Bouriaud T. 7. Fdaouch Z. 10. Dabasse A.
Substitutes
1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 91. Cabral K. 21. Hachem A. 3. Huard M. 10. Khaoui S. E. 22. Sylla D. 25. Trani G.
8. Bouabdelli W. 12. Julloux A. 30. Lembet G. (G) 27. Maouassa F. 24. Orakpo V. 14. Saint-Ruf N. 9. Sissoko N.
Coaches
Poirier G.
Correa P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Escartin J. ⚽, Haag G. (A),
31', Mendy E. 🟨,
34', Haag G. 🟨,
45+1', Hachem R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bouriaud T. ↓, Bouabdelli W. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Escartin J. (Own goal),
72', Poirier G. 🟨,
72', Ba P. M. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
73', Cisse K. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
77', Evans J. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
78', Benali H. ↓, Khaoui S. E. ↑,
78', Pierret B. ↓, Sylla D. ↑,
79', Dabasse A. ↓, Orakpo V. ↑,
79', Barbier H. ↓, Sissoko N. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Khaoui S. E. ⚽, Sylla D. (A),
86', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Huard M. ↑,
88', Huard M. 🟨,
90', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Saint-Ruf N. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 3.
Red Star has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nancy's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Red Star might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Halifa I.
(Inactive)
Hassen M.
(Inactive)
Lemonnier P.
(Injury)
There will not play in Nancy: Bokangu B.
(Inactive)
Experience M.
(Inactive)
Gelin J.
(Injury)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Ouotro P.
(Inactive)
Saint-Ruf N.
(Inactive)
Sourzac M.
(Arm Injury)
Suljic C.
(Inactive)
Ztouti Z.
(Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
France
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Poussin G. (G) 
Ba P. M. 
Evans J. 
Khaoui S. E. 
Sylla D. 
Trani G. 
Lembet G. (G) 
Saint-Ruf N. 
Sissoko N. 
Correa P. 
