The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Star 40.9%
Draw 27.7%
Nancy 31.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
28%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
26.9%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
The chances for Nancy have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Red Star - Nancy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th and 3rd in the Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 3.
In recent outings, Red Star has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Nancy shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Red Star may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Red Star has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:10 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Red Star against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).