Match Info

Jia League - Round 6

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Nanjing City		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.9
	4	3.2	1.85
	4.35	3.3	1.87
	4.4	3.29	1.87	Watch
	4.33	3.3	1.77
	4	3.2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↓ (4.4)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
22.3%

Draw
28.3%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

28.3%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

27.3%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nanjing City - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chongqing will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chongqing Tongliang Long will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 31. Zhu Qiwen 5. Isic T. 18. Dong Honglin (C) 8. Yang Dejiang 39. Yu Menghui 24. Du Junpeng 17. Fu Yuncheng 9. Ling Jie 16. Ding Yunfeng 6. Dujardin A.	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 21. Song Pan 5. Huang X. 4. Sadauskas R. 2. Wang Wenxuan 38. Ruan Qilong 8. Li Zhenquan 26. He Xiaoqiang 16. Zhang Zhixiong 7. Xiang Yuwang (C) 40. Carrillo J.
Substitutes
30. An Bang 7. Guo Yi 35. Han Kunda 11. Hu Rentian 45. Ji Xiang 22. Meng Zhen 26. Miao Jiawei 38. Zhang Hui 20. Zhang Xianbing 4. Zhao Wenzhe 1. Zheng Hao (G) 27. Zheng Xuejian	30. Bai Yutao 14. Huang Xiyang 9. Leonardo 17. Ng Y. H. 20. Osmanjan Abduhelil 15. Tong Zhicheng 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 3. Zhang Yingkai
Coaches
Liu Zhiyu	Suay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Dujardin A. 🟨,
38', Ruan Qilong 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Song Pan ↓, Leonardo ↑,
46', Huang X. ↓, Bai Yutao ↑,
46', Ling Jie ↓, Zhang Xianbing ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Carrillo J. ⚽, Leonardo (A),
55', Ruan Qilong ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
56', Yang Dejiang 🟨,
62', Yang Dejiang ↓, Hu Rentian ↑,
62', Dujardin A. ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
71', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Zhang Yingkai ↑,
74', Isic T. 🟨,
74', Zhu Qiwen ↓, An Bang ↑,
77', Isic T. ↓, Zhang Hui ↑,
78', Zhang Hui 🟨,
85', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Liu Mingshi ↑,
87', Yu Menghui ↓, Meng Zhen ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Recent matches Nanjing City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chongqing is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Chongqing will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Nanjing City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
22.04.25	Shaanxi Union - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Nanjing City - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Nanjing City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nanjing City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTTW
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League
22.04.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Shaanxi Northwest Youth - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Liaoning Tieren	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
28.09.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nanjing City	1:0
11.05.24	Nanjing City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:2

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