Match Info

Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 23

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Haimen Sports Center Stadium (Nantong)


	Nantong Haimen Codion		Guangxi Hengchen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.2	1.98
	3.3	3.25	1.98	Watch
	2.83	3.32	2.31
	1.76	4.13	3.71	Watch
	3.18	3.18	2.21	Watch
	4.27	3.58	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (4.27)	3.44 ↓ (3.58)	2.32 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Haimen Codion
30.9%

Draw
27.8%

Guangxi Hengchen
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

25.4%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

25.4%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Haimen Codion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantong Haimen Codion's performance.

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangxi Hengchen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantong Haimen Codion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Hengchen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nantong Haimen Codion - Guangxi Hengchen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Liang Zhenfu (G) 6. Yin Hanlong 17. Bai Xianyi (C) 55. Chen Weijing 46. Xu Kunxing 59. Dai Yuanji 9. Yan Ge 19. Zheng Lei 8. Cheng Xin 16. Wang Bowen 11. Pei Guoguang	22. Shen Bokai (C) 25. Ren K. 5. Luan H. 4. Fang Zhengyang 3. Yuan X. 18. Wei Chaolun 8. Wang H. 16. Ning W. 56. Ji X. 17. Zhang Huajun 11. Fei Ernanduo
Substitutes
53. Cheng Yi 41. Ding Jianhua 57. Fan Yucheng 58. Hu Yubo 20. Luo Dongping 54. Luo Gaoju 56. Sun Qinan 42. Tan Jingbo 52. Xie Gongbo (G) 22. Xu Yuese 43. Yang Mingtao 51. Zhou Xianfeng	19. Cen Liyi 47. Chen D. 52. Chen G. 45. Dai Jiatong (G) 23. Guo Z. 58. Huang Y. 42. Ji Tianle 32. Li S. 21. Ren Wei 28. Wang Haozhi 29. Yao Zixuan
Coaches
Lu Qiang	Liu Junwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
7', 1 - 0, Wang Bowen ⚽, Yin Hanlong (A),
24', Wei Chaolun ↓, Chen G. ↑,
33', 1 - 1, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Ji X. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Fei Ernanduo (Pen),
40', 1 - 3, Ning W. ⚽, Ji X. (A),
42', 2 - 3, Pei Guoguang ⚽, Dai Yuanji (A),
45+2', Yin Hanlong 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Ning W. ↓, Li S. ↑,
54', Wang Bowen ↓, Xu Yuese ↑,
61', Ren K. ↓, Chen D. ↑,
61', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Huang Y. ↑,
61', Ji X. ↓, Ji Tianle ↑,
65', Dai Yuanji ↓, Cheng Yi ↑,
69', Li S. 🟨,
75', Cheng Xin ↓, Tan Jingbo ↑,
77', Zhang Huajun ↓, Wang Haozhi ↑,
83', Wang H. ↓, Ren Wei ↑,
88', Pei Guoguang ↓, Fan Yucheng ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Luan H. (Own goal),
90+5', Yin Hanlong ↓, Luo Gaoju ↑,
90+9', 3 - 4, Yuan X. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Nantong Haimen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guangxi Hengchen is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Guangxi Hengchen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nantong Haimen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.5:4).

Including home match between the teams, Nantong Haimen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Haimen Codion
Chinese Yi League
02.08.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Nantong Haimen Codion	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Beijing Institute of Technology	3:1 ✺
05.07.25	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Nantong Haimen Codion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWWL
- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Yi League
03.08.25	Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:3 ✺
27.07.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Wenzhou Professional - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Ganzhou Ruishi	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangdong Mingtu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
21.09.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Guangxi Hengchen	1:3
17.08.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Haimen Codion	5:0

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