Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 13

Date: 25 June 2024, Tuesday

Location: Haimen Sports Center Stadium (Nantong)


	Nantong Haimen Codion		Shaanxi Union

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.85
				Watch
	2.29	2.67	3.11
	2.27	2.66	3.11
	2.2	3.1	2.88
	2.29	2.96	3.1
	2.29	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.95)	2.9 ↓ (3)	3.01 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Haimen Codion
39.5%

Draw
30.8%

Shaanxi Union
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

30.7%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Haimen Codion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantong Haimen Codion's performance.

Shaanxi Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shaanxi Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantong Haimen Codion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shaanxi Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nantong Haimen Codion - Shaanxi Union Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Liang Zhenfu (G) 60. Yin Hanlong 49. Chen Weijing 3. Yu Jiawei 19. Zheng Lei 53. Cheng Y. 32. Qi Dan 9. Yan Ge 10. Li X. 17. Bai Xianyi 43. Wang B.	28. Zhou Yuchen (G) 4. Wang Weipu 5. Yao Diran 44. Yang Ruiqi 38. Hu Mingtian 45. Zhong Weihong 15. Wen Wubin 8. Xie Zhiwei 10. Gao Tianyu 29. Mi Haolun 9. Li Rui
Substitutes
45. Cao Y. 50. Cheng Xin 59. Dai Yuanji 8. Ding Yufeng 41. Guo Kainan 21. Huang-Jiang Daya 29. Jin Hang 46. Ji Sangnan 58. Luo Gaoju 2. Luo H. 56. Sun Qinan 1. Zhao Dongxu (G)	22. Chen X. 6. Ding Jie 25. Li Chen (G) 34. Pang Zhiquan 26. Sun Xiaobin 47. Tursunali Nureli 11. Wen Shuo 17. Wu Chengru 32. Xu Wu 16. Yangyang Ma 19. Zhang Yuxuan 21. Zhao Shuhao
Coaches
Lu Qiang	Cespedes O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Zhong Weihong ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Cheng Y. ↓, Cheng Xin ↑,
49', Yin Hanlong 🟨,
59', Li Rui ↓, Wen Shuo ↑,
60', Yin Hanlong ↓, Cao Y. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Wang B. ⚽, Li X. (A),
66', Li X. ↓, Luo H. ↑,
70', Yang Ruiqi ↓, Ding Jie ↑,
70', Mi Haolun ↓, Tursunali Nureli ↑,
73', Gao Tianyu 🟨,
76', Zhou Yuchen ↓, Li Chen ↑,
76', Zhong Weihong ↓, Pang Zhiquan ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Wang B. ⚽,
79', Wang B. 🟨,
81', Cao Y. 🟨,
81', Wang B. ↓, Dai Yuanji ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Cheng Xin ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, Ding Jie ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Haimen Codion
Chinese Yi League
16.06.24	Hubei Istar - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Taian Tiankuang	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:2 ✺
25.05.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Beijing Institute of Technology	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Shandong Taishan B - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWTW
- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Shaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai	2:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Yi League
16.06.24	Beijing Institute of Technology - Shaanxi Union	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Shaanxi Union - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	2:0 ✺
02.06.24	Shaanxi Union - Hubei Istar	2:1 ✺
25.05.24	Shaanxi Union - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
11.04.24	Shaanxi Union - Nantong Haimen Codion	1:1

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