Match Info

League One - Round 19

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Weinan Sports Center Stadium (Weinan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Shaanxi Union		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.1	5.5
	1.41	4.15	6.1	Watch
	1.4	4.76	7.55
	1.58	4.17	5.1	Watch
	1.4	4.55	7.05
	1.44	4.61	6.32	Watch
	1.42	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.74)	4.38 ↑ (3.55)	6.26 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaanxi Union
64.1%

Draw
21.1%

Changchun Yatai
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

25.8%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaanxi Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shaanxi Union's performance.

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shaanxi Union that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. He Lipan (G) 23. Jin W. 5. Ma Sheng 24. Liang Shaowen 29. Mi Haolun (C) 19. Irandust D. 21. Wang Shijie 42. Wei Zhiwei 10. El Azrak R. 17. Feng Boyuan 9. Selmani A.	13. Dong Yifan (G) 4. Wang Weipu 35. Jiang Zilei 14. JIng Boxi 20. Fan Houtai 25. Chen Xuhuang 6. Li Qiang 39. Liu Ziheng 29. Tan Long (C) 38. Sun Xipeng 37. Zhou Dadi
Substitutes
34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 27. Jiang Wenhao 30. Leng Jixuan 31. Luan Yi (G) 20. Ma H. W. 33. Tan Kaiyuan 6. Tursunali Nureli 38. Wang Jia'nan 2. Wen Junjie 36. Yan Yu 16. Zhao Shi (G) 7. Zhong Wen	3. Du Kaile 19. Geng Taili 21. He Xin 5. Ling Chuanbin 36. Lu K. 26. Lu Yiming 17. Muhamet 27. Reiner C. 32. Tian Ziyi 16. Tudi Dilyimit 23. Wu Yake (G) 8. Wu Zhicheng
Coaches
Chen Tao	Yan Feng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', JIng Boxi 🟨,
32', Tan Long (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Tan Long ↓, Muhamet ↑,
46', Wang Weipu ↓, Tian Ziyi ↑,
48', Tian Ziyi 🟨,
49', 1 - 0, Irandust D. (Penalty Awarded),
50', 1 - 1, Muhamet ⚽, Fan Houtai (A),
56', Liang Shaowen 🟨,
61', Wang Shijie ↓, Tursunali Nureli ↑,
61', Selmani A. ↓, Ma H. W. ↑,
64', Liu Ziheng ↓, Lu K. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Feng Boyuan ⚽, Liang Shaowen (A),
70', Chen Xuhuang ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
76', Sun Xipeng ↓, Lu Yiming ↑,
80', Mi Haolun ↓, Jiang Wenhao ↑,
80', Feng Boyuan ↓, Tan Kaiyuan ↑,
89', Wei Zhiwei ↓, Wen Junjie ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 11).

Recent performances by Shaanxi Union have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Changchun Yatai is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Shaanxi Union is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shaanxi Union won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Shaanxi Union won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Shaanxi Union	25	11	6	8	42:27	15	39
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Jia League
08.08.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Dalian Kun City - Shaanxi Union	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Shaanxi Union - Shenzhen Juniors	3:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.07.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Shaanxi Union	2:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
18.07.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Shaanxi Union	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWLL
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
08.08.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Changchun Yatai - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Changchun Yatai - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Changchun Yatai - Wuxi Wugou	1:5 ✺
05.07.26	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
11.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Shaanxi Union	2:1
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Shaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai	2:3 penalties

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