Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Nantwich Town		Buxton

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.82
	3.7	3.45	1.82
	3.98	3.54	1.88
	3.5	3.6	1.8
	3.82	3.58	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.94)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	1.83 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantwich Town
24.7%

Draw
25.6%

Buxton
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

25.5%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

17.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantwich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nantwich Town's form might have worsened.

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buxton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantwich Town than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantwich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buxton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nantwich Town - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Nantwich is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Buxton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Buxton is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Nantwich won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantwich won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantwich Town
English NPL Premier Division
08.02.22	Warrington Town - Nantwich Town	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Morpeth Town - Nantwich Town	1:2 ✺
29.01.22	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
25.01.22	Nantwich Town - Mickleover Sports	0:1 ✺
22.01.22	Basford United - Nantwich Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTLL
- Buxton FC
English NPL Premier Division
08.02.22	Buxton - Basford United	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Buxton - South Shields	2:2 ✺
29.01.22	Hyde United - Buxton	1:2 ✺
22.01.22	Morpeth Town - Buxton	3:0 ✺
15.01.22	Buxton - Warrington Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.11.21	Buxton - Nantwich Town	1:1
29.09.20	Nantwich Town - Buxton	2:1
14.12.19	Nantwich Town - Buxton	2:2
20.08.19	Buxton - Nantwich Town	1:2
05.03.19	Buxton - Nantwich Town	2:1
21.08.18	Nantwich Town - Buxton	0:0
19.04.18	Buxton - Nantwich Town	3:0

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