Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - ROUND 8

Date: 10 November 2023, Friday


	Napier City Rovers		Eastern Suburbs

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.7	1.83
	3.4	4	1.8	Watch
	3.34	4	1.9
	3.34	3.94	1.9
	3.28	3.9	1.85
	3.35	3.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.73)	3.9 ↑ (3.66)	1.86 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napier City Rovers
27.4%

Draw
23.4%

Eastern Suburbs
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

24.8%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

24.1%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napier City Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napier City Rovers's form might have worsened.

Eastern Suburbs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eastern Suburbs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napier City Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern Suburbs than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eastern Suburbs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Napier City Rovers - Eastern Suburbs Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Eastern Suburbs will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 5).

Napier City is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eastern Suburbs is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eastern Suburbs will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napier City Rovers
New Zealand National League
04.11.23	Cashmere Technical - Napier City Rovers	4:2 ✺
28.10.23	Christchurch United - Napier City Rovers	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Napier City Rovers - Manurewa	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Napier City Rovers	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Napier City Rovers - Auckland City	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWL
- Eastern Suburbs AFC Auckland
New Zealand National League
04.11.23	Eastern Suburbs - Manurewa	3:0 ✺
28.10.23	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Eastern Suburbs	3:5 ✺
21.10.23	Eastern Suburbs - Auckland City	1:2 ✺
13.10.23	Wellington Olympic - Eastern Suburbs	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Eastern Suburbs - Petone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTT

Napier City Rovers - Eastern Suburbs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide