The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Napier City Rovers 22.8%
Draw 21.5%
Auckland City 55.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
23.5%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
22.8%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napier City Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napier City Rovers's form might have worsened.
Auckland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auckland City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napier City Rovers than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napier City Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auckland City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
7.7%
84.6%
Napier City Rovers - Auckland City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Auckland City will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, Ukich S. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Grand Final: Final) and 3).
Napier City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Auckland City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Napier City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Auckland City will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Napier City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 1:3.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Napier City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4
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