Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 5

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
New Zealand	12:30	DAZN New Zealand


	Napier City Rovers		Wellington Phoenix 2

	1	X	2
	1.20	6.00	9.50
	1.17	5.50	8.50
	1.20	6.93	9.40
	1.22	6.7	9.5	Watch
	1.19	6.85	9.30
	1.17	6.15	11.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.36)	6.36 ↑ (5.2)	9.55 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napier City Rovers
76.2%

Draw
14.3%

Wellington Phoenix 2
9.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.3%

17.9%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napier City Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napier City Rovers's performance.

Wellington Phoenix 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Napier City Rovers - Wellington Phoenix 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90', 5 - 1, ⚽,
90', 5 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Wellington Phoenix 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Napier City holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Napier City has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Napier City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napier City Rovers
New Zealand National League Women
17.10.26	Birkenhead United - Napier City Rovers	2:0 ✺
New Zealand National League
10.10.26	Napier City Rovers - Cashmere Technical	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Auckland United - Napier City Rovers	7:1 ✺
26.09.26	Napier City Rovers - Miramar Rangers	1:1 ✺
New Zealand Chatham Cup
15.08.26	Cashmere Technical - Napier City Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWLTL
- Wellington Phoenix 2
New Zealand National League
09.10.26	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Birkenhead United	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Cashmere Technical - Wellington Phoenix 2	10:0 ✺
25.09.26	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Auckland United	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Western Suburbs - Wellington Phoenix 2	2:7 ✺
28.11.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Birkenhead United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
12.10.24	Napier City Rovers - Wellington Phoenix 2	1:1
14.10.23	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Napier City Rovers	0:1
30.09.22	Napier City Rovers - Wellington Phoenix 2	1:0

Napier City Rovers - Wellington Phoenix 2