Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
New Zealand	14:30	DAZN New Zealand


	Wellington Phoenix 2		Birkenhead United

	1	X	2
	7.8	5.7	1.22
	8.28	6.2	1.23
	8.4	6	1.27	Watch
	8.1	5.9	1.21
	9.85	5.75	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.49 ↑ (7.6)	5.91 ↑ (5.6)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix 2
10.7%

Draw
15.3%

Birkenhead United
74%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.3%

16.6%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Birkenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Wellington Phoenix 2 - Birkenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Wellington Phoenix 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Birkenhead enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Wellington Phoenix 2 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 2.7:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wellington Phoenix 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 3:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Birkenhead	4	3	0	1	9:5	4	9
11	Wellington Phoenix 2	4	0	1	3	2:15	-13	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix 2
New Zealand National League
03.10.26	Cashmere Technical - Wellington Phoenix 2	10:0 ✺
25.09.26	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Auckland United	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Western Suburbs - Wellington Phoenix 2	2:7 ✺
28.11.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Birkenhead United	2:3 ✺
21.11.25	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWLL
- Birkenhead United
New Zealand National League
26.09.26	Birkenhead United - Cashmere Technical	0:4 ✺
06.12.25	Birkenhead United - Western Springs	3:1 ✺
28.11.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Birkenhead United	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Birkenhead United - Miramar Rangers	1:4 ✺
14.11.25	Auckland United - Birkenhead United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
28.11.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Birkenhead United	2:3
26.10.24	Birkenhead United - Wellington Phoenix 2	4:2
26.11.22	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Birkenhead United	4:2

Wellington Phoenix 2 - Birkenhead United