Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 6

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Konoike Athletic Stadium (Nara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nara Club		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.35	3.7	1.62
	4.6	4.18	1.67
	3.81	4.14	1.77	Watch
	4.33	4	1.53
	4.4	3.98	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.59)	4 ↑ (3.97)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nara Club
21.4%

Draw
23%

Albirex Niigata
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

23.5%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

22.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Nara Club - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Albirex Niigata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Vito M. (G) 22. Ikoma K. 33. Sato H. 36. Ishii T. 27. Nakayama M. 50. Shibamoto R. 10. Morita R. 7. Tamura R. 20. Kunitake Y. 37. Hamana G. 17. Tamura S.	64. Baumann N. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 2. Geria J. 26. Sato M. 55. Moraes M. 7. Onishi Y. 8. Shirai E. 30. Okumura J. 13. Ochiai R. 99. Ono Y.
Substitutes
18. Goto T. 14. Mochizuki S. 15. Okada S. (G) 42. Okazaki T. 16. Okuda Y. 19. Sekiguchi T. 21. Tomizu R. 8. Yoshida A. 40. Yoshimura Y.	22. Arai T. 40. Ishiyama A. 46. Kasai K. 38. Mori K. 48. Otake Y. 17. Shimabuku K. 71. Uchiyama S. (G) 18. Wakatsuki Y. 96. Yoshida J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Tamura R. ↓, Okazaki T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moraes M. ↓, Shimabuku K. ↑,
60', Ochiai R. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
69', Tamura S. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
69', Hamana G. ↓, Goto T. ↑,
75', Geria J. 🟨,
78', Shirai E. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
86', Shibamoto R. ↓, Sekiguchi T. ↑,
86', Kunitake Y. ↓, Tomizu R. ↑,
86', Okumura J. ↓, Ishiyama A. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Okazaki T. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Fujiwara S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mochizuki S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sato M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Sekiguchi T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ono Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Goto T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Fitzgerald M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Nara Club is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Niigata's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nara Club may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Niigata has had a series of away games.

In this match, Niigata is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nara Club
Japan J2 J3 League
06.03.26	Osaka - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Kochi United - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Nara Club - Ehime	2:3 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Nara Club - Imabari	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Nara Club - Tokushima Vortis	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWL
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 J3 League
07.03.26	Albirex Niigata - Kochi United	2:3 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Imabari - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Albirex Niigata	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Tokushima Vortis - Albirex Niigata	4:0 ✺
07.02.26	Ehime - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW

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