Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 4

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Imabari		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3	2.42	Watch
	2.82	3.15	2.66
	2.66	3.02	2.76	Watch
	2.6	3	2.5
	2.71	3.02	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.22)	3.04 ↓ (3.44)	2.61 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
34.2%

Draw
30.4%

Albirex Niigata
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Imabari's form might have worsened.

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Imabari - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Imabari will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Yamamoto T. (G) 33. Sasa S. 3. Son T. 24. Takeuchi Y. 2. Umeki R. 8. Komai Y. 20. Rodrigo Souza 5. Arai H. 17. Mochii K. 44. Hayashi M. 14. Mori K.	64. Baumann N. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 77. Funaki K. 3. Kato T. 24. Mori R. 46. Kasai K. 8. Shirai E. 28. Shimamura T. 55. Moraes M. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
Substitutes
6. Kajiura Y. 9. Kondo T. 23. Lee Y. 29. Maruyama Y. 25. Sato R. 1. Tachikawa K. (G) 38. Umakoshi H. 11. Wesley Tanque 7. Yamada T.	22. Arai T. 5. Fitzgerald M. 15. Hayakawa F. 40. Ishiyama A. 38. Mori K. 13. Ochiai R. 7. Onishi Y. 99. Ono Y. 71. Uchiyama S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Mori R. ↓, Ono Y. ↑,
31', 0 - 1, Ono Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
56', Hayashi M. ↓, Wesley Tanque ↑,
62', Moraes M. 🟨,
64', Mochii K. ↓, Kajiura Y. ↑,
65', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Ochiai R. ↑,
65', Kasai K. ↓, Onishi Y. ↑,
70', Shimamura T. 🟨,
78', Arai H. ↓, Yamada T. ↑,
81', Moraes M. ↓, Arai T. ↑,
81', Shimamura T. ↓, Ishiyama A. ↑,
82', Baumann N. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Fujiwara S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Imabari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Imabari - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Albirex Niigata - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.17%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J2 J3 League
22.02.26	Imabari - Osaka	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Nara Club - Imabari	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Imabari - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	JEF United Chiba - Imabari	5:0 ✺
23.11.25	Imabari - Consadole Sapporo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTLT
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 J3 League
22.02.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Albirex Niigata	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Tokushima Vortis - Albirex Niigata	4:0 ✺
07.02.26	Ehime - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Tokyo - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWTL

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