The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nara Club 39.1%
Draw 28%
Kamatamare Sanuki 32.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
26.5%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
25.5%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
The chances for Kamatamare Sanuki have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Nara Club - Kamatamare Sanuki Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
96. Vito M. (G) 40. Yoshimura Y. 33. Sato H. 36. Ishii T. 27. Nakayama M. 20. Kunitake Y. 10. Morita R. 7. Tamura R. 18. Goto T. 54. Kawasaki S. 17. Tamura S.
1. Imamura Y. (G) 44. Hayashida K. 30. Oka H. 29. Tao K. 17. Makiyama K. 15. Iwamoto K. 66. Woo S. 35. Sago S. 90. Goto Y. 86. Asada H. 22. Ono Y.
Substitutes
22. Ikoma K. 15. Okada S. (G) 42. Okazaki T. 16. Okuda Y. 47. Olasunkanmi D. 2. Takahata K. 9. Togashi Y. 21. Tomizu R. 8. Yoshida A.
14. Ishikura J. 13. Maekawa T. 60. Morikawa Y. 8. Mori Y. 77. Murakami Y. 11. Sano R. 23. Takahashi C. (G) 40. Takashima S. 4. Tsujioka S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Ono Y. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Tao K. ⚽, Sago S. (A),
24', Morita R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Goto T. ↓, Tomizu R. ↑,
62', Asada H. ↓, Maekawa T. ↑,
62', Goto Y. ↓, Ishikura J. ↑,
67', Tamura R. ↓, Olasunkanmi D. ↑,
69', Ono Y. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Tamura S. ⚽, Kunitake Y. (A),
89', Makiyama K. ↓, Morikawa Y. ↑,
89', Iwamoto K. ↓, Sano R. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Murakami Y. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Kawasaki S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Morikawa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tamura S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ishikura J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kunitake Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Sano R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Morita R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nara Club won 1.
Recent form of Nara Club has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Kamatamare has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nara Club won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Nara Club won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Kamatamare Sanuki - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.93%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
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Vito M. (G) 
Yoshimura Y. 
Woo S. 
Olasunkanmi D. 
