Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 26Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
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Nardo |
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Fidelis Andria |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.28 |
2.98 |
2.98 |
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 |
2.16 |
2.93 |
3.33 |
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 |
2.21 |
3 |
3.26 |
 Watch |
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2.2 |
2.75 |
3.2 |
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2.16 |
2.95 |
3.34 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.25) |
2.92 ↓
(3.08) |
3.22 ↑
(3.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nardo
41% | Draw
30.9% | Fidelis Andria
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+0.7%)Nardo - Fidelis Andria Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardo (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, D'Anna S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', 2 - 0, D'Anna S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 70', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 85', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. Nardo could have a small edge in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.4:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Nardo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 14 | A.C.D. Nardo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
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| 16 | Fidelis Andria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Nardo - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.53%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group H | | | 26.10.25 | Fidelis Andria - Nardo | 0:0 | | 16.02.25 | Fidelis Andria - Nardo | 1:0 | | 20.10.24 | Nardo - Fidelis Andria | 0:2 | | 12.05.24 | Nardo - Fidelis Andria | 1:0 | | 07.01.24 | Nardo - Fidelis Andria | 1:0 | | 09.05.21 | Nardo - Fidelis Andria | 1:1 | | 17.01.21 | Fidelis Andria - Nardo | 0:0 |
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