The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nardo 32%
Draw 30.9%
Fidelis Andria 37.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.6%
29.1%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.6%
28.1%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fidelis Andria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nardo - Fidelis Andria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 1 - 0, Margheriti F. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Musy M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Musy M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Trombino A. (Penalty Awarded),
79', 1 - 3, Kisseih A. ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Nardo (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fidelis Andria is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fidelis Andria holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Nardo has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nardo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
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