Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Herd		Spjelkavik

	1	X	2
	1.60	4.10	3.75
	1.7	4.2	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.6)	4.15 ↑ (4.1)	3.75 (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herd
54.4%

Draw
21.6%

Spjelkavik
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

21.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

20.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Spjelkavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herd than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spjelkavik than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 8th).

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Herd carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Herd has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:12 (averaging 0.8:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Herd against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:6 goals (averaging 0.5:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Herd	22	8	5	9	47:44	3	29
8	Spjelkavik	22	8	4	10	41:48	-7	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Herd
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
02.10.26	Molde 2 - Herd	6:2 ✺
26.09.26	Herd - Kvik	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Byåsen - Herd	6:1 ✺
12.09.26	Herd - Orkla FK	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Herd - Melhus	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL
- Spjelkavik IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
04.10.26	Spjelkavik - Ranheim 2	2:5 ✺
26.09.26	Melhus - Spjelkavik	0:1 ✺
21.09.26	Spjelkavik - Rosenborg II	0:4 ✺
14.09.26	Aalesunds 2 - Spjelkavik	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Nardo - Spjelkavik	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
12.04.26	Spjelkavik - Herd	1:3
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
05.10.19	Herd - Spjelkavik	0:2
23.04.19	Spjelkavik - Herd	5:0
27.10.18	Herd - Spjelkavik	1:4
07.07.18	Spjelkavik - Herd	0:0

Herd - Spjelkavik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide