Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 12

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Narva Kalev-Fama staadion (Narva)


	Narva Trans U21		Läänemaa Haapsalu

	1	X	2
	1.09	10.5	13.5
	1.09	8.6	15
	1.08	10.08	12.45
	1.1	9.56	13.47	Watch
	1.08	9	23
	1.04	9.4	23
	1.09	8.6	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.35)	9.39 ↑ (5)	16.49 ↑ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Narva Trans U21
84.7%

Draw
9.8%

Läänemaa Haapsalu
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

18.1%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

17%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Narva Trans U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Narva Trans U21's performance.

Läänemaa Haapsalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Läänemaa Haapsalu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Narva Trans U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Läänemaa Haapsalu than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Läänemaa Haapsalu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Narva Trans U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Narva U21 will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Läänemaa will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Narva U21 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Läänemaa (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Läänemaa (10.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 - Narva U21 (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Narva U21 (votes: 3 - 60%). Läänemaa (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zahharov M. (G) 2. Shantenkov V. 3. Sibul D. 66. Petkus E. 11. Kozhushko M. 19. Elysee 44. Geveller D. 37. Besigirskis A. 23. Jegorov A. (C) 29. Kudriashov V. 58. Torchakov V.	1. Gutmann M. (G) 44. Nurme K. 67. Lust A. 6. Kariste K. (C) 17. Puskar E. 37. Suder R. 92. Hein S. 7. Valkiainen M. 10. Konks M. 31. Viispert A. 88. Raudsep G.
Substitutes
13. Gonsevich O. 39. Ivanov J. 48. Jevgrafov J. 42. Kaurson S. 31. Rebrik I. (G) 33. Stepanov A. 20. Stepanov M. 38. Zubkov T.	18. Laherand R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Kozhushko M. ⚽,
30', 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Besigirskis A. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
58', 3 - 0, Nurme K. (Own goal),
61', 4 - 0, Kudriashov V. ⚽,
73', 🟨,
74', 5 - 0, Sibul D. (Pen),
86', 6 - 0, Besigirskis A. ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Esiliiga and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Narva U21 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Läänemaa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Läänemaa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Läänemaa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Narva U21 is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Narva U21 will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Narva U21 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Narva U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
02.06.25	Narva Trans U21 - Kuressaare U21	2:0 ✺
29.05.25	Tartu Kalev - Narva Trans U21	2:3 ✺
17.05.25	Tabasalu - Narva Trans U21	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Narva Trans U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:0 ✺
05.05.25	Paide U21 - Narva Trans U21	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLWW
- Läänemaa JK Haapsalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
01.06.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Nõmme United U21	1:5 ✺
29.05.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tallinna JK Legion	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tartu Kalev	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Läänemaa Haapsalu	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tabasalu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
20.04.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Narva Trans U21	0:2
24.10.24	Narva Trans U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	4:1
25.08.24	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Narva Trans U21	2:3

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