Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 8

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Tabasalu		Narva Trans U21

	1	X	2
	6	5.5	1.31
	4.95	4.75	1.43
	5.05	5.84	1.39
	4.55	6.08	1.41	Watch
	5	5	1.4
	5.37	5.25	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↑ (4.27)	5.4 ↑ (4.63)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
17.6%

Draw
16.8%

Narva Trans U21
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

19.7%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

19.2%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Narva Trans U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Narva Trans U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (-5%)

Tabasalu - Narva Trans U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 0, Anepaio A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Esiliiga B (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Esiliiga).

Recent performances by Tabasalu have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Narva U21 is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Narva U21 is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tabasalu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Narva U21	30	20	3	7	71:36	35	63
8	Tabasalu	30	10	3	17	44:81	-37	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
02.05.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tabasalu	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Tabasalu - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Levadia U19 - Tabasalu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WLWLW
- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
02.05.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	5:0 ✺
23.04.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tammeka U21	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Narva Trans U21	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Levadia U19 - Narva Trans U21	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
01.11.25	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	2:1
01.08.25	Tabasalu - Narva Trans U21	1:0
17.05.25	Tabasalu - Narva Trans U21	2:1
30.03.25	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	1:0

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