Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 9

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Paide linnastaadion (Paide)


	Paide U21		Narva Trans U21

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	2.5
	3.25	4.2	1.8
	1.97	4.3	2.73
	2.1	3.8	2.7
	3.47	4.05	1.78
	3.25	4.2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.02)	4.06 ↓ (4.14)	2.22 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paide U21
34.7%

Draw
23.1%

Narva Trans U21
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

21.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

21.8%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Narva Trans U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Narva Trans U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Narva Trans U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paide U21 - Narva Trans U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paide U21 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Isakar R. (G) 88. Kool R. 5. Juhkam G. 15. Gomis M. 46. Reivik K. (C) 32. Kiik K. 22. Soo S. 37. Kanne K. 30. Badamosi A. 11. Gomiz M. 7. Corr P.	31. Rebrik I. (G) 20. Stepanov M. 2. Shantenkov V. 66. Petkus E. 23. Jegorov A. (C) 39. Ivanov J. 44. Geveller D. 29. Kudriashov V. 36. Bahval P. 48. Jevgrafov J. 9. Doke J.
Substitutes
54. Burujan A. 33. Kaarmann K. (G) 71. Kallas K. 49. Lehtmaa H. 95. Pitsner A. 66. Rak C. 57. Vassilenko K.	37. Besigirskis A. 42. Kaurson S. 40. Pavlov V. 33. Stepanov A. 58. Torchakov V. 1. Zahharov M. (G) 38. Zubkov T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Badamosi A. ⚽,
22', 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Doke J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
48', 1 - 2, Jevgrafov J. ⚽,
50', 2 - 2, Badamosi A. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
85', 2 - 3, Petkus E. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
89', 3 - 3, Corr P. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 4, Bahval P. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 4).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Paide U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Narva U21 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
13.04.25	Tartu Kalev - Paide U21	5:0 ✺
06.04.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Paide U21	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Paide U21 - Nõmme United U21	0:6 ✺
16.03.25	Paide U21 - Tabasalu	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Paide U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
26.04.25	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Narva Trans U21	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Narva Trans U21	5:1 ✺
06.04.25	Narva Trans U21 - Tartu Kalev	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLW

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