Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 28

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday


	Tallinna JK Legion		Tartu Kalev

	1	X	2
	4.80	5.25	1.40
	3.95	4.8	1.5
	3.5	4.91	1.69
	3.43	5.2	1.64	Watch
	3.4	4.15	1.65
	3.5	4.46	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (4.5)	4.8 ↑ (4.4)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna JK Legion
24.2%

Draw
19%

Tartu Kalev
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

20.4%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

20.1%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna JK Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Tartu Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Tallinna JK Legion - Tartu Kalev Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Legion (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legion (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Kulm R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 0 - 2, ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legion won 0.

Legion is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tartu Kalev has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Tartu Kalev has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tartu Kalev is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Legion won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:27. (average 0.7:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Legion won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Tartu Kalev	30	15	2	13	72:58	14	47
10	Legion	31	3	3	25	26:116	-90	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga B
05.09.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tallinna JK Legion	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:5 ✺
24.08.26	Levadia U19 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tammeka U21	Tammeka U21 Awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LLLT?
- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
06.09.26	Tartu Kalev - Narva Trans U21	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Jõhvi Phoenix	0:3 ✺
25.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
20.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tammeka U21	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
12.07.26	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	10:2
24.05.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tartu Kalev	0:6
11.04.26	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	1:0
01.11.25	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	4:3
02.08.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Tartu Kalev	0:1
05.07.25	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	0:1
10.11.24	Tallinna JK Legion - Tartu Kalev	0:2

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