The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Viljandi Tulevik 50.6%
Draw 20.4%
Tartu Kalev 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
22.6%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
22.7%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Viljandi Tulevik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viljandi Tulevik's performance.
Tartu Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viljandi Tulevik that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (5 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Saag K. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Vidder G. ⚽,
18', 3 - 0, Metsmaa J. ⚽,
32', 4 - 0, Saag K. ⚽,
41', 5 - 0, Vidder G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 6 - 0, Levit E. ⚽,
84', 6 - 1, Villems M. ⚽,
Preview
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Tulevik has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:11 (averaging 2.3:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tulevik against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).