The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Narva Trans U21 73.6%
Draw 14.1%
Tartu Kalev 12.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.1%
18.7%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68%
17.4%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Narva Trans U21's performance.
Tartu Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tartu Kalev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Narva Trans U21 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Elysee I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Jerjomin J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva U21 won 3.
Narva U21 arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Tartu Kalev have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Narva U21 is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Narva U21 in today's match, at odds of 1.42.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Narva U21 has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:12 (averaging 1.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Narva U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:5 goals (averaging 2.8:1.3 per game).
Watch
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