The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tartu Kalev 46.2%
Draw 22.2%
Jõhvi Phoenix 31.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.5%
21.9%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
22.8%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tartu Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Jõhvi Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jõhvi Phoenix than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Kalev won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Jõhvi Phoenix may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tartu Kalev has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Jõhvi Phoenix has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Tartu Kalev is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Tartu Kalev has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:16 (averaging 1.4:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tartu Kalev against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).