Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Nasaf Qarshi		Al-Sharjah

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.2	4	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4	Watch
	2	3.25	3.25
	1.98	3.28	4.25
	1.85	3.2	3.75
	1.92	3.32	4.2	Watch
	2.03	3.2	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.47)	3.24 ↑ (3.12)	3.87 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nasaf Qarshi
47.5%

Draw
28.6%

Al-Sharjah
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.9%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nasaf Qarshi's performance.

Al-Sharjah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Sharjah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nasaf Qarshi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sharjah than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Sharjah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Nasaf Qarshi - Al Sharjah Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nasaf will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Al-Sharjah will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nasaf: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Nematov A. (G) 5. Gaybullaev G. 92. Eshmurodov U. (C) 2. Davronov A. 34. Nasrullaev S. 70. Jigauri J. 17. Nurulloev S. 7. Mozgovoy A. 18. Abdurakhimov B. 77. Bozorov O. 99. Amonov A.	40. Al Hosani A. (C) 19. Khaled Ebraheim 13. Salem S. 18. Juma A. G. 22. Meloni M. 7. Caio 8. Abdulbasit M. 24. Rashid M. 11. Ben Larbi F. 30. Camara O. 91. Marega M.
Substitutes
8. Abdurahmatov Z. 36. Akhrorov A. 10. Chavez A. 32. Khakimov Z. 19. Mateus 13. Musulmonov A. (G) 21. Narzullaev D. 25. Rahmatov B. 9. Sidikov J. 88. Stanojevic M.	3. Al Hassan S. 25. Al Kaabi S. 14. Bawazir K. 26. Bin Habib D. (G) 17. Fahad D. 16. Fahad H. 23. Saleh S. 15. Salim Ali A. 77. Sembaij K. 6. Suroor M. 12. Tagliabue S. 1. Tawhid K. (G)
Coaches
Berdiev R.	Olaroiu C.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Al-Sharjah could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nasaf will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nasaf won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League
03.11.23	Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi	1:1 ✺
30.10.23	Navbahor Namangan - Nasaf Qarshi	0:1 ✺
27.10.23	Nasaf Qarshi - Metallurg Bekabad	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
23.10.23	Al-Sharjah - Nasaf Qarshi	1:0 ✺
Uzbek League
07.10.23	Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWLW
- Al-Sharjah
UAE Football League
02.11.23	Al-Jazira - Al-Sharjah	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Al-Sharjah - Bani Yas	5:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
23.10.23	Al-Sharjah - Nasaf Qarshi	1:0 ✺
UAE League Cup
19.10.23	Al-Sharjah - Ittihad Kalba	2:3 ✺
UAE Football League
08.10.23	Emirates Club - Al-Sharjah	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
23.10.23	Al-Sharjah - Nasaf Qarshi	1:0

Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Sharjah: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide