Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday

Location: Markaziy Stadium (Qarshi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play


	Nasaf Qarshi		Tractor Sazi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.35	2.2
	2.90	3.35	2.34	Watch
	3.2	3.42	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.96)	3.37 ↑ (3.33)	2.27 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nasaf Qarshi
30.9%

Draw
27.8%

Tractor Sazi
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

28.1%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Tractor Sazi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Nasaf Qarshi - Tractor Sazi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nasaf will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tractor Sazi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tractor Sazi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Tractor Sazi (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tractor Sazi (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Tractor Sazi (1.77) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tractor Sazi (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Nematov A. (G) 24. Bakhromov S. 28. Mukhammadiev S. 2. Davronov A. 34. Nasrullaev S. 17. Nurulloev S. 92. Eshmurodov U. (C) 14. Mukhitdinov S. 10. Ceran D. 18. Norchaev K. 7. Shala A.	1. Beiranvand A. (G) 3. Khalilzadeh S. (C) 4. Sedlar A. 18. Moharrami S. 11. Esmaeilifar D. 21. Khamrobekov O. 20. Hashemnejad M. 7. Halilovic T. 31. Lushkja R. 25. Drozdek D. 99. Hosseinzadeh A.
Substitutes
55. Abdunazarov D. 19. Colovic S. 5. Gaybullaev G. 22. Golban I. 33. Khalilov B. 82. Numonov A. (G) 20. Otubanjo Y. 9. Sidikov J. 71. Ubaydullaev J. 1. Vorobey O. (G)	33. Faraji F. 30. Johansson M. (G) 17. Karimazar S. 88. Kazemayni M. 27. Khorrami A. 5. Kor M. 77. Mohammadi M. 22. Naderi M. 2. Shiri M. 19. Strkalj T. 9. Torabi M. 49. Zarei A. (G)
Coaches
Berdiev R.	Skocic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Lushkja R. ⚽, Esmaeilifar D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Nurulloev S. ↓, Colovic S. ↑,
59', Norchaev K. ↓, Abdunazarov D. ↑,
68', Lushkja R. ↓, Shiri M. ↑,
73', Davronov A. 🟨,
73', Mukhitdinov S. ↓, Sidikov J. ↑,
84', Halilovic T. ↓, Torabi M. ↑,
86', Bakhromov S. ↓, Golban I. ↑,
86', Shala A. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
90+3', Hashemnejad M. ↓, Strkalj T. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent form of Nasaf has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tractor Sazi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nasaf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Nasaf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League
20.11.25	Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Mashal Mubarek	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.11.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Wahda	1:2 ✺
Uzbek League
30.10.25	Navbahor Namangan - Nasaf Qarshi	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	AGMK - Nasaf Qarshi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTT
- Tractor Sazi FC
Iran Pro League
08.11.25	Tractor Sazi - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.11.25	Tractor Sazi - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
30.10.25	Tractor Sazi - Persepolis	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Tractor Sazi	0:5 ✺
AFC Champions League
20.10.25	Al-Sharjah - Tractor Sazi	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
21.04.15	Tractor Sazi - Nasaf Qarshi	1:2
25.02.15	Nasaf Qarshi - Tractor Sazi	2:1

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