Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 18

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday


	Navad Urmia		Niroye Zamini

	1	X	2
	2.47	2.82	3.05	Watch
	2.37	2.71	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.47)	2.77 ↓ (2.82)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navad Urmia
37.6%

Draw
32.9%

Niroye Zamini
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

32.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navad Urmia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Niroye Zamini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navad Urmia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niroye Zamini than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Navad Urmia - Niroye Zamini Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Navad Urmia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Navad Urmia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Niroye Zamini	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Navad Urmia
Iran Division 1
03.01.26	SaiPa - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Navad Urmia - Mes Kerman	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Sanat Naft - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Navad Urmia - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:1
27.11.25	Palayesh Naft - Navad Urmia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLTL
- Niroye Zamini
Iran Division 1
28.12.25	Sanat Naft - Niroye Zamini	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Niroye Zamini - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Niroye Zamini	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Niroye Zamini - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Fard Alborz - Niroye Zamini	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
29.08.25	Niroye Zamini - Navad Urmia	0:1
02.02.20	Navad Urmia - Niroye Zamini	0:0
Iran Hazfi Cup
29.09.19	Niroye Zamini - Navad Urmia	0:2
Iran Division 1
15.09.19	Niroye Zamini - Navad Urmia	1:1

Navad Urmia - Niroye Zamini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide