Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Naval Reinosa		Bezana

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.27
	2.75	3.45	2.21
	2.87	3.49	2.21
	2.78	3.42	2.24
	2.8	3.25	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.79)	3.37 ↑ (3.24)	2.24 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naval Reinosa
32.5%

Draw
27%

Bezana
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.9%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

27.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval Reinosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Bezana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval Reinosa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

Recent form of Naval Reinosa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bezana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naval Reinosa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Naval Reinosa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval Reinosa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
26.04.25	Revilla - Naval Reinosa	2:4 ✺
18.04.25	Naval Reinosa - Colindres	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Castro - Naval Reinosa	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Naval Reinosa - Siete Villas	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Atlético Albericia - Naval Reinosa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTL
- CD Bezana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
26.04.25	Bezana - Atlético Mineros Reocín	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Cayón - Bezana	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Bezana - Monte	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Bezana - Revilla	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	Colindres - Bezana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
21.12.24	Bezana - Naval Reinosa	2:1
27.04.24	Bezana - Naval Reinosa	1:2
16.12.23	Naval Reinosa - Bezana	1:1

Naval Reinosa - Bezana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide