Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Arosa

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.9
	1.9	3.1	3.75
	2.01	3.05	3.55
	2.05	3.03	4.07
	2.01	3.1	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)	3.06 ↑ (3)	3.82 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
46.2%

Draw
29.9%

Arosa
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

30.5%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

23.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Navalcarnero - Arosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 12).

Navalcarnero is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arosa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Navalcarnero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Navalcarnero will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.02.22	Real Avilés - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Navalcarnero - Palencia CA	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Navalcarnero - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Coruxo - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Navalcarnero - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTLW
- Arosa SC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.02.22	Arosa - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Coruxo - Arosa	3:0 ✺
12.02.22	Arosa - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Arenteiro - Arosa	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Llanera - Arosa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.10.21	Arosa - Navalcarnero	1:0

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