Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Palencia CA

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.2
	2.19	3	3.15
	2.32	2.95	3.41
	2.24	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.85)	3 ↓ (3.1)	3.24 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
41.2%

Draw
30.5%

Palencia CA
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

28.9%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

19.7%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navalcarnero's form might have worsened.

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palencia CA's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navalcarnero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Navalcarnero - Palencia CA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Navalcarnero will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.02.22	Navalcarnero - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Coruxo - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Navalcarnero - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:2 ✺
23.01.22	Llanera - Navalcarnero	3:2 ✺
09.01.22	Marino de Luanco - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLW
- Palencia CA
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.02.22	Palencia CA - Móstoles URJC	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Unión Adarve - Palencia CA	1:2 ✺
29.01.22	Palencia CA - Compostela	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Coruxo - Palencia CA	3:1 ✺
09.01.22	Pontevedra - Palencia CA	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.10.21	Palencia CA - Navalcarnero	3:0

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