Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Coruxo		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.75	3.5
	2.15	2.9	3.45
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.36	2.59	3.93
	2.2	2.99	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.08)	2.83 ↓ (3.06)	3.5 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coruxo
41.4%

Draw
32.4%

Navalcarnero
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

20.3%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coruxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coruxo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navalcarnero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coruxo - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Coruxo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Navalcarnero is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Coruxo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coruxo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Coruxo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.01.22	Unión Adarve - Coruxo	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Coruxo - Palencia CA	3:1 ✺
09.01.22	Gimnástica Segoviana - Coruxo	2:0 ✺
19.12.21	Coruxo - Llanera	2:0 ✺
12.12.21	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWT
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.01.22	Navalcarnero - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:2 ✺
23.01.22	Llanera - Navalcarnero	3:2 ✺
09.01.22	Marino de Luanco - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
19.12.21	Navalcarnero - Arenteiro	0:0 ✺
11.12.21	Bergantiños - Navalcarnero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.09.21	Navalcarnero - Coruxo	1:0
13.01.19	Coruxo - Navalcarnero	3:1
26.08.18	Navalcarnero - Coruxo	1:1
25.02.18	Coruxo - Navalcarnero	1:3
08.10.17	Navalcarnero - Coruxo	1:0

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