Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.5	3.25	2.75
	2.47	3.05	2.65
	2.55	3.14	2.72
	2.48	3.2	2.65
	2.5	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.75)	3.14 ↑ (3)	2.68 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
36.8%

Draw
29.1%

Atlético Madrid B
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

30%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 1.

Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Madrid B is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.10.22	Unión Adarve - Navalcarnero	0:3 ✺
02.10.22	Navalcarnero - CD Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	Socuéllamos - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Navalcarnero - Diocesano	1:3 ✺
11.09.22	Cacereño - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.10.22	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Atlético Madrid B	1:4 ✺
24.09.22	Atlético Madrid B - Montijo	4:2 ✺
18.09.22	Coria - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
11.09.22	Atlético Madrid B - Don Benito	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.03.21	Atlético Madrid B - Navalcarnero	1:1
10.02.21	Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid B	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.02.19	Atlético Madrid B - Navalcarnero	3:0
23.09.18	Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid B	2:4
29.04.18	Atlético Madrid B - Navalcarnero	0:1
03.12.17	Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid B	1:1

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