Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Navalcarnero		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.03	3.2	3.4
	2.01	3.22	3.57	Watch
	2.05	3.16	3.59
	2.03	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.88)	3.18 ↑ (2.98)	3.5 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
45.5%

Draw
28.6%

CD Guadalajara
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

30.5%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

30.6%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Navalcarnero's performance.

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navalcarnero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Navalcarnero - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
15', 1 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
81', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 1.

Navalcarnero is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guadalajara in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guadalajara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.04.25	Melilla - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Colonia Moscardó - Navalcarnero	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	Getafe B - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWWW
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.04.25	CD Guadalajara - Coria	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	CD Guadalajara - Conquense	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	CD Guadalajara - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.12.24	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	2:0
14.04.24	Navalcarnero - CD Guadalajara	3:1
03.12.23	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	3:2
18.02.23	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	1:1
02.10.22	Navalcarnero - CD Guadalajara	0:2
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Navalcarnero - CD Guadalajara	1:2

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