Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.02	3.25	3.4
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.1	3.01	3.9
	2.08	3.13	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.93)	3.07 ↓ (3.24)	3.51 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
44.2%

Draw
29.8%

Bergantiños
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.5%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Navalcarnero - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bergantiños is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bergantiños could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Navalcarnero will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.04.22	Leganés B - Navalcarnero	0:4 ✺
17.04.22	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
10.04.22	Compostela - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
03.04.22	Navalcarnero - Pontevedra	0:2 ✺
27.03.22	Salamanca - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLL
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.04.22	Bergantiños - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Coruxo - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Bergantiños - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
03.04.22	Llanera - Bergantiños	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.12.21	Bergantiños - Navalcarnero	0:2

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