Match Info

Date: 23 February 2020, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Carabanchel

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.5	6.1
	1.46	3.52	6.13
	1.47	3.83	7.23
	1.53	3.78	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.69)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	6.37 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
61.2%

Draw
24.6%

Carabanchel
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

15.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Navalcarnero's performance.

Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carabanchel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-28.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navalcarnero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carabanchel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Navalcarnero - Carabanchel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.02.20	Leganés B - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
09.02.20	Navalcarnero - Santa Ana	1:2 ✺
26.01.20	Navalcarnero - Rayo Vallecano B	4:0 ✺
19.01.20	Trival Valderas - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
12.01.20	Navalcarnero - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.02.20	Carabanchel - San Fernando de Henares	2:0 ✺
02.02.20	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	1:2 ✺
26.01.20	Parla - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
19.01.20	Carabanchel - Moratalaz	2:1 ✺
11.01.20	Flat Earth - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.10.19	Carabanchel - Navalcarnero	1:1

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