Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Conquense		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.2	2.98	3.1
	2.2	2.96	3.6
	2.63	3.00	2.63	Watch
	2.26	3.02	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.63)	2.99 ↓ (3)	3.16 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
40.2%

Draw
30.7%

Navalcarnero
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Conquense's performance.

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Navalcarnero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Conquense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navalcarnero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Conquense - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Ruiz N. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Altube Suarez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Conquense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Conquense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Conquense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Conquense - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tenerife B - Conquense	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Conquense - Coria	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Alcalá - Conquense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTWL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Navalcarnero - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Elche Ilicitano - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Navalcarnero - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Navalcarnero - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.02.25	Navalcarnero - Conquense	2:0
29.09.24	Conquense - Navalcarnero	1:0

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