Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Navalcarnero		Intercity

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.22	2.98	3.05
	2.23	3.02	3.43
	2.36	2.98	3.05	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.25
	2.23	3.22	3.22
	2.16	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)	3.03 ↓ (3.12)	3.21 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
41.3%

Draw
30.2%

Intercity
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

30%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Navalcarnero - Intercity Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Intercity (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Gracia J. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Maroto A. ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, Maroto A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 3 - 1, Jimenez M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 7).

Recent form of Navalcarnero has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Intercity's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Navalcarnero	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Navalcarnero - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.09%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.02.26	Tenerife B - Navalcarnero	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Las Palmas B - Navalcarnero	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Navalcarnero - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLTL
- CF Intercity
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.02.26	Intercity - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Tenerife B - Intercity	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Intercity - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Socuéllamos - Intercity	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Intercity - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.11.25	Intercity - Navalcarnero	3:0

Upcoming Matches