Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 18Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
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Rayo Vallecano B |
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Navalcarnero |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.1 |
3.1 |
2.15 |
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3.05 |
3.05 |
2.18 |
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3.18 |
3.17 |
2.18 |
 Watch |
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3.1 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
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3.15 |
3.04 |
2.21 |
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3.2 |
3 |
2.25 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(2.93) |
3.04 ↑
(3.03) |
2.2 ↓
(2.28) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Rayo Vallecano B
28.9% | Draw
29.8% | Navalcarnero
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-1.9%)Rayo Vallecano B - Navalcarnero Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Leiton D. ⚽,
- 26', de Souza R. 🟥,
- 28', (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 1, Quivira I. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano B won 0.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Recently, Navalcarnero has had a series of home games. Navalcarnero could have a small edge in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Navalcarnero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Rayo Vallecano B - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 30.77%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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