The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Navalcarnero 30.8%
Draw 32.1%
San Sebastian Reyes 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
29.8%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
32%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navalcarnero's form might have worsened.
San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Sebastian Reyes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Silva Teles V. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Garci ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
84', 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navalcarnero won 1.
Recent form of Navalcarnero has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
SS Reyes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
SS Reyes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Navalcarnero won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Navalcarnero won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
Spain
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