Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday


	Navalcarnero		Manresa

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.65	3.25	5
	1.68	3.21	5.78
	1.75	3	4.5
	1.72	3.36	5.1
	1.8	3.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.52)	3.19 ↓ (3.5)	4.86 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
52.7%

Draw
28.6%

Manresa
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

25.6%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

28%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navalcarnero's form might have worsened.

Manresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Navalcarnero - Manresa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Manresa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Navalcarnero is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.05.23	Manresa - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.05.23	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Melilla - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
30.04.23	Navalcarnero - Leganés B	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Navalcarnero - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTWL
- CE Manresa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.05.23	Manresa - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.05.23	Ebro - Manresa	1:2 ✺
07.05.23	Manresa - Teruel	3:0 ✺
29.04.23	Espanyol B - Manresa	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Manresa - Prat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.05.23	Manresa - Navalcarnero	1:0

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