Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 31

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Alcorcón B

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.63	3.67	5.25
	1.64	3.6	5.05
	1.66	3.6	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	3.62 ↑ (3.1)	4.91 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
56.1%

Draw
25.3%

Alcorcón B
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

29.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

28.1%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Navalcarnero in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alcorcón B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Navalcarnero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Navalcarnero is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Navalcarnero to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.04.23	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Navalcarnero	0:3 ✺
09.04.23	Navalcarnero - Montijo	5:0 ✺
02.04.23	Coria - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Navalcarnero - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTWW
- Alcorcón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.04.23	Alcorcón B - Leganés B	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Alcorcón B - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Montijo - Alcorcón B	0:3 ✺
25.03.23	Alcorcón B - Coria	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Don Benito - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.22	Alcorcón B - Navalcarnero	1:2
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Navalcarnero - Alcorcón B	1:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
25.07.20	Navalcarnero - Alcorcón B	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.11.19	Alcorcón B - Navalcarnero	1:1

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