Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Palencia CA		Compostela

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.8	2.37
	2.8	2.75	2.63
	2.95	2.8	2.42
	3.19	2.72	2.52
	2.7	2.7	2.7
	2.97	2.97	2.38
	2.95	2.85	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.4)	2.8 ↓ (3.24)	2.49 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia CA
31.1%

Draw
32.5%

Compostela
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.8%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia CA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palencia CA's form might have worsened.

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palencia CA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Palencia CA - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Palencia CA is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Compostela is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Palencia CA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Palencia CA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia CA
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.11.22	Marino de Luanco - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Palencia CA - Rayo Cantabria	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Palencia CA - Ibiza	0:2 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.11.22	Laredo - Palencia CA	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Palencia CA - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLWW
- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.11.22	Compostela - Real Avilés	4:0 ✺
20.11.22	Arenteiro - Compostela	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Compostela - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Bergantiños - Compostela	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	Compostela - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.01.22	Palencia CA - Compostela	1:1
12.09.21	Compostela - Palencia CA	3:0

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