Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Poblense

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.95
	2.25	3.25	2.9
	2.29	3.05	2.9
	2.34	3.32	3.02
	2.29	3.16	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.02)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	2.96 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
40.3%

Draw
28.8%

Poblense
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

21.5%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poblense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Navalcarnero - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Promotion Group) and 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Navalcarnero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Navalcarnero will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.11.20	Navalcarnero - Atlético Baleares	3:3 ✺
21.11.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
08.11.20	Navalcarnero - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
01.11.20	Getafe B - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
25.10.20	Navalcarnero - Las Rozas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLTWW
- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.11.20	Poblense - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
22.11.20	Rayo Majadahonda - Poblense	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	Poblense - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
01.11.20	Las Rozas - Poblense	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Poblense - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTTT

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