Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Poblense		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.6
	2.5	3.25	2.6
	2.41	3.05	2.7
	2.67	3.26	2.76
	2.51	3.24	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.49)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	2.67 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poblense
36.6%

Draw
28.9%

Real Madrid Castilla
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.5%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

20.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Poblense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poblense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Poblense - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage)).

Poblense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Madrid Castilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.11.20	Rayo Majadahonda - Poblense	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	Poblense - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
01.11.20	Las Rozas - Poblense	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Poblense - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	Atlético Madrid B - Poblense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTTTL
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.11.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
15.11.20	Rayo Majadahonda - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Getafe B	1:2 ✺
18.10.20	Las Rozas - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLLW

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